Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00d6ab9eac69755f01c4da18f92d6fd01a9ddeb7407c5add3bef45b719917cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,870,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,928,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,870,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe700…dc26backed No | 0c | 257,168$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 75c | 115,018$85,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,124.59 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 98,280$64,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,072.22 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 73c | 73,217$53,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,411.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 60c | 55,033$33,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,952.78 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed No | 34c | 51,561$17,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,447.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 9c | 38,460$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 49c | 29,602$14,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,153.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 41c | 27,369$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,129.83 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 27,023$15,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,915.51 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 73c | 21,757$15,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 25c | 17,551$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 51c | 17,499$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.81 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 66c | 16,536$10,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 66c | 14,563$9,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked No | 61c | 12,239$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 62c | 9,267$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.74 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 25c | 9,064$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.46 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…b278backed No | 15c | 8,338$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca60…4d02backed No | 70c | 7,150$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 79c | 7,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 22c | 6,811$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.74 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked Yes | 63c | 6,322$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.47 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…8989backed No | 27c | 6,315$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked No | 25c | 6,275$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.71 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 35c | 6,000$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…9068backed No | 3c | 5,833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…535cbacked No | 21c | 5,576$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8d…2a69backed Yes | 35c | 5,403$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed No | 75c | 5,227$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed No | 11c | 5,126$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 12c | 4,652$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 37c | 4,508$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.08 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…ba87backed Yes | 65c | 4,200$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes | 25c | 4,028$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 18c | 4,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 72c | 3,977$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.11 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e968backed No | 39c | 3,882$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yes | 62c | 3,670$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 16c | 3,400$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 51c | 3,199$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 43c | 3,013$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 51c | 2,945$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked No | 34c | 2,914$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…78e9backed No | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 74c | 2,826$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…edcfbacked No | 55c | 2,811$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 2,742$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.13 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed No | 13c | 2,682$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,642$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754e…028fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked No | 25c | 2,400$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 49c | 2,300$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.65 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 71c | 2,245$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.32 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7e10backed Yes | 75c | 2,140$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…fc51backed Yes | 59c | 2,110$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…189bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,002$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…9585backed No | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…c67ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.9 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 24c | 1,996$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.69 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 37c | 1,990$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 38c | 1,911$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.05 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…f7cdbacked No | 3c | 1,900$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,900$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…1230backed Yes | 58c | 1,807$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,800$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed No | 7c | 1,750$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…f7f0backed No | 6c | 1,738$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…42dbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…a02ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,653$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…3eb0backed Yes | 65c | 1,600$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,518$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…cb0bbacked No | 68c | 1,488$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed No | 57c | 1,476$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed Yes | 65c | 1,400$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…dfcdbacked No | 26c | 1,394$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,293$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…38f3backed Yes | 72c | 1,253$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,217$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Yes | 51c | 1,207$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…e1f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,201$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…dbe8backed No | 25c | 1,196$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 46c | 1,130$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…c4f5backed Yes | 65c | 1,121$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…106dbacked No | 17c | 1,053$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…125cbacked No | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…132abacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…e746backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…eb33backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e4…668dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.