Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8372cb80319b68af1bff86ab12a6eba95edb127a3651f9b9e146f2d7df05a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,509,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,542,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,509,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 8c | 97,230$7,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,906.06 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 4c | 70,687$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.7 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 9c | 27,862$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.9 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 5c | 25,055$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…0495backed Yes | 7c | 24,373$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 4c | 22,940$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…797fbacked Yes | 22c | 22,856$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 3c | 18,054$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 8c | 15,166$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.76 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked Yes | 20c | 14,697$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 6c | 13,700$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 7c | 12,263$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.21 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 6c | 12,189$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.72 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 7c | 12,083$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.73 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…69fbbacked Yes | 9c | 10,727$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,347$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,274$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 6c | 9,880$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 9,425$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.73 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 5c | 9,417$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,258$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…7251backed Yes | 4c | 8,704$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 8c | 8,696$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.93 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…903fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,308$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Yes | 7c | 7,537$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 6,968$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…0fbcbacked Yes | 8c | 6,383$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.44 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,927$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.96 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,746$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…dcdfbacked Yes | 2c | 5,437$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…d77bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,971$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 7c | 4,897$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f814backed Yes | 4c | 4,882$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,812$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,576$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 4,412$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 17c | 4,316$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,216$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…1fb1backed Yes | 11c | 4,041$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,807$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,600$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…f927backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,117$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…c5e8backed Yes | 5c | 2,954$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 1c | 2,939$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…0921backed Yes | 4c | 2,807$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 7c | 2,644$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 2c | 2,377$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…702fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,973$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…829fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,903$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…4ac7backed Yes | 8c | 1,871$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 3c | 1,794$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,684$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,581$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 1,568$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…5564backed Yes | 7c | 1,537$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…7ca2backed Yes | 4c | 1,446$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,365$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…ac9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 4c | 1,288$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 1c | 1,234$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…721cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,218$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…f408backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 6c | 962.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…ea69backed Yes | 10c | 915.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 10c | 850.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…f7bcbacked Yes | 6c | 829.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 6c | 793.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 2c | 706.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…c5fabacked Yes | 20c | 686.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…5e52backed Yes | 3c | 653$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…bb41backed Yes | 3c | 653$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 7c | 624.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Yes | 4c | 573.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…8f31backed Yes | 10c | 526.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 2c | 516.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…cb8dbacked Yes | 5c | 506$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…de27backed Yes | 5c | 427.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…7e85backed Yes | 8c | 360$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 5c | 340$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…ae00backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…1715backed Yes | 5c | 282$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…7b52backed Yes | 8c | 243.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…b3c3backed Yes | 9c | 239.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…b124backed Yes | 6c | 206.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…3d9cbacked Yes | 10c | 180.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 77c | 174.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.