TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c6f…8b32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32.25
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,016.91
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+64.5%+$81.88
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.8%+$202.69
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+87.6%+$56.49
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$125.4
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$17.67
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.69
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+272.1%+$114.01
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53%+$107.29
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+126%+$49.39
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.5
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Avalanche vs. Devilsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$888.22
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$5.02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+48%+$36.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,302.3
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.77
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.62
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.61
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.97
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.95
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$202.57
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.84
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$175.37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+83%+$576.87
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+239.4%+$24.58
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.47
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+112%+$15.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+339.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+65.8%+$83.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.