NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7928e8bff7342b498f9bf45d3c708d038a60a7610a0c239e1ec83d1251273f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,521,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,475,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,521,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Stars | 62c | 697,777$432,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432,361.48 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 38c | 396,721$150,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,111.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Islanders | 39c | 204,562$79,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,307.51 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Islanders | 38c | 181,828$69,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,732.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 61c | 113,808$69,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,422.64 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Stars | 62c | 105,915$65,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,667.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 40c | 102,849$41,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,584.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 38c | 52,052$19,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,349.37 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 42c | 45,000$19,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,050 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Islanders | 37c | 29,398$10,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,521.02 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 62c | 23,026$14,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,365.54 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Islanders | 37c | 22,975$8,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,444.73 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 63c | 20,811$13,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110.93 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Islanders | 37c | 20,807$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,108.28 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.98 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 37c | 19,940$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,499.24 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 37c | 18,557$6,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,603.23 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Islanders | 38c | 17,583$6,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.23 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Islanders | 37c | 15,637$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,851.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 37c | 15,555$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.65 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Islanders | 77c | 14,415$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 37c | 13,783$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 37c | 12,780$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,075.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders | 37c | 12,501$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.62 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Stars | 61c | 11,300$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 38c | 11,184$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.21 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Stars | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Stars | 61c | 9,400$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Islanders | 39c | 9,400$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 40c | 8,993$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.72 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 46c | 8,747$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.7 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…178ebacked Islanders | 38c | 8,490$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Stars | 62c | 8,302$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Islanders | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Stars | 64c | 7,174$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders | 38c | 7,007$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.42 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Stars | 61c | 6,977$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,255.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 60c | 6,917$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Islanders | 49c | 6,867$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 39c | 6,072$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.92 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 37c | 6,071$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 55c | 5,905$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.96 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 51c | 5,845$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Islanders | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Islanders | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Islanders | 40c | 4,923$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 39c | 4,616$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.74 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Stars | 54c | 4,483$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.59 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Islanders | 37c | 4,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.99 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Islanders | 38c | 3,297$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.07 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Stars | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Stars | 45c | 3,217$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.35 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Stars | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Stars | 63c | 3,170$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.97 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Stars | 35c | 2,988$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.96 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Islanders | 40c | 2,852$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 61c | 2,717$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.66 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Islanders | 38c | 2,666$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.92 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…a071backed Stars | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 62c | 2,580$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.42 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Islanders | 38c | 2,529$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.63 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 62c | 2,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.49 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Islanders | 37c | 2,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Islanders | 38c | 2,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Stars | 61c | 2,452$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Stars | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…7668backed Stars | 64c | 2,393$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Islanders | 38c | 2,377$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.73 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Islanders | 73c | 2,330$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.93 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Islanders | 38c | 2,303$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.86 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 38c | 2,258$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.21 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Islanders | 44c | 2,178$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.54 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars | 2c | 2,137$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Stars | 62c | 2,030$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Islanders | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Stars | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.94 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 48c | 1,807$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Stars | 62c | 1,681$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Stars | 61c | 1,666$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Stars | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed Stars | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Stars | 63c | 1,559$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 38c | 1,507$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.77 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Stars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Islanders | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders | 61c | 1,486$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.38 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Islanders | 38c | 1,480$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.37 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 38c | 1,468$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 40c | 1,450$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 59c | 1,417$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders | 43c | 1,401$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.86 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Stars | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Starsthis page
- Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.