TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x44f0…67cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+150%+$1,200
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$920
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$840
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$690
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$720
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+156.4%+$317.13
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$620
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$900
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+393.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$690
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$460.02
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$170
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,420
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+212.5%+$1,360
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,180
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+316.7%+$759.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$360
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.