College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7986c63ed57f780cb3a6edd174ae9e764cd34b08f5d3350b36d12950fb13f803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Miami (OH), Buffalo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,441,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,464,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,441,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdff8…aaaebacked Buffalo | 46c | 940,251$434,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434,224.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 257,515$138,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,312.96 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 170,000$91,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,400 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Miami (OH) | 55c | 112,533$61,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,816.63 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Buffalo | 33c | 89,587$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,800 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Miami (OH) | 53c | 79,849$42,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,145.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) | 62c | 77,189$48,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,986.87 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Miami (OH) | 55c | 52,710$29,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,614.48 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 44,000$23,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,240 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 42,777$22,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,831.31 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 31,550$17,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,512.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 31,110$16,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,310.6 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 30,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,900 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Miami (OH) | 56c | 23,853$13,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.63 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Buffalo | 46c | 23,827$10,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,981.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 20,104$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,258.44 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Buffalo | 39c | 17,058$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.04 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Buffalo | 45c | 12,000$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.4 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 11,415$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.62 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 9,292$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.26 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) | 63c | 8,673$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.52 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 8,606$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.74 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami (OH) | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Miami (OH) | 53c | 7,872$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.64 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Buffalo | 29c | 6,620$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.83 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Buffalo | 50c | 5,675$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.4 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Buffalo | 44c | 5,464$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.03 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 5,000$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.69 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Miami (OH) | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Buffalo | 21c | 4,365$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 4,003$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami (OH) | 53c | 3,615$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.78 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Miami (OH) | 60c | 3,523$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Buffalo | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 3,452$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 3,441$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.12 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Buffalo | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 3,141$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.36 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Buffalo | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Buffalo | 45c | 2,700$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 2,588$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.45 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Buffalo | 44c | 2,352$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Buffalo | 9c | 2,290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Miami (OH) | 75c | 2,287$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Buffalo | 46c | 2,120$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…4d9cbacked Buffalo | 9c | 2,072$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 2,030$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.73 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 2,023$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.48 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Buffalo | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Buffalo | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed Buffalo | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Miami (OH) | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…3923backed Miami (OH) | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Buffalo | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…972fbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 2,000$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 2,000$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.09 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Miami (OH) | 74c | 1,975$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Buffalo | 44c | 1,841$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Miami (OH) | 53c | 1,809$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.1 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Buffalo | 48c | 1,780$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Buffalo | 45c | 1,749$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…30f0backed Buffalo | 9c | 1,744$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Miami (OH) | 73c | 1,629$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Buffalo | 45c | 1,364$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Buffalo | 1c | 1,331$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Buffalo | 48c | 1,276$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami (OH) | 56c | 1,268$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.4 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 1,185$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.03 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami (OH) | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.44 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Miami (OH) | 46c | 1,078$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.53 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Buffalo | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Buffalo | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Buffalo | 47c | 1,009$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Miami (OH) | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…ce88backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Miami (OH) | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Buffalo | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…f9c7backed Buffalo | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Miami (OH) | 53c | 972$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…ce8ebacked Miami (OH) | 51c | 950$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa001…e07dbacked Buffalo | 49c | 950$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Buffalo | 50c | 915.98$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Buffalo | 36c | 863.88$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Buffalo | 19c | 810.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami (OH) | 65c | 744.18$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 724.4$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.47 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Buffalo | 46c | 619.3$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Buffalo | 3c | 614.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Miami (OH) | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Miami (OH) | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Miami (OH) | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) vs. Buffalothis page
- Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo: O/U 38.5Over won
- O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5)Miami (OH) won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-2.5)Miami (OH) won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.