TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9def…d1a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,240
Categories scored
46
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST14945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$290
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$160
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$541.72
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$912
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$529.99
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$783.2
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$709.99
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$347.3
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$431.6
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Spread: Falcons (-4.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$255
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$590
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,040
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300.3
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$926.4
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13829%40 W · 98 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800.98
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104.42
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$409.49
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$1,554.6
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$7,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,731.43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$674.99
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,742.68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.81
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$17,462.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+471.7%+$61,640.9
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.7
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST12450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$393.6
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$37.2
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$601.62
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,054.58
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$960
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,306.45
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,040.4
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$470
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$460
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,330.46
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$489.54
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$595
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+87.1%+$74.5
Spread: Washington (-9.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$450
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$913
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT9649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+871.4%+$30,913
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,329.14
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$202.55
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,620.21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.91
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$553.03
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$383.4
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$452.2
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$435
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$1,510
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.28
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.99
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$361
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.2
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$763.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$309.99
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$866.37
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed SuYoung You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luan Lacerda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,517.39
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,090.86
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$350
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7335.6%26 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$783
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,962.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,810.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+245.7%+$5,302.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$716.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+213.9%+$5,987.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$1,797.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,551.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.95
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$692
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$417
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,338.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,763.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,025.63
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.32
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.84
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$121.9
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$803.52
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$742.8
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$1,934.98
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$385
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$833.89
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$98.58
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,538Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,622.4
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$491.4
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$825
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.5
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$929.98
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$839.6
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$515
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$815
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,460.8
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$375
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.64
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+289.7%+$4,764.92
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,870.12
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$1,523.1
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.79
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.85
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$17,862.91
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$1,054.97
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$6,721.27
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.41
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.57
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$306.76
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$2,247.37
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$132.14
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$345
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$159.1
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.9%+$184.7
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.7
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$181.3
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$790
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$460
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$480
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$237.35
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$333.2
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$143
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$269.2
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$795
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+101.2%+$729.5
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010.23
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$230
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$430
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,520.47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$329.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$851.73
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$69.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$458.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,542.86
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.98
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$877.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$119.69
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$285
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$382.48
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.93
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$337.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.76
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.27
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,821
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$2,106.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,568Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$432
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.89
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$292.41
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$403.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,383.21
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,644.99
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$373.99
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+90.4%+$915.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,951.55
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.3
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+427.1%+$1,514.85
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 31 be between 6,000 and 6,500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$731.92
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$100.47
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$273.73
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$432
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+105.2%+$1,762.32
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.5%+$3,974.51
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$600
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.9%+$1,028
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,692Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+30.6%+$822.52
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,697
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$89.82
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+316.8%+$3,872.06
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$679.99
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.18
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$569.99
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.17
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$571.18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$599.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,185.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+91.3%+$446.52
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$439.99
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$62.09
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.99
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+101.1%+$2,267
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+34%+$190.39
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$480.6
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.79
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96%+$277.99
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.68
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$710
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.6%+$855.18
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.3%+$1,220.04
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$110
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150.16
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$310.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,151.59
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$189.9
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$842.31
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,152.69
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,111.17
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,849Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+60.3%+$1,115.66
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$125.4
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.99
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$870
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,415.44
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,732.37
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$949.83
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+175%+$2,598.86
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.98
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$451.91
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+77.1%+$809.73
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$420
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$979.45
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$163.3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$129.71
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.63
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$790
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$266.19
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$620
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$424
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.62
Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$32.52
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$17.2
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+209.1%+$703.22
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.08
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$733.07
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$455
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$304
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$360
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$218.2
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$135
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,257Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100.4%+$1,262.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$514.04
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$759.95
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,539.96
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$163
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$165
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.5
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$603.2
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$475
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,069.77
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$2,937.32
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+115.1%+$535.02
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.3%+$515
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+266.8%+$1,832.73
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.7%+$618.65
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+27.9%+$920.98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,861Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+30%+$858.8
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,897Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.4%+$1,140.69
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$878.61
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47.49
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,162.36
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.2%+$2,541.12
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.3
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.56
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$809.97
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$513.87
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.04
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,815.78
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$440.31
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$107.78
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,877Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$1,373.81
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$1,461.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$205.06
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.24
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+180.6%+$1,236.19
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$196
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.83
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$605.03
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+203%+$61.27
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$677.53
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$569.71
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$319.39
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$395
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.17
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$533.21
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+216.5%+$342
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.54
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.66
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+99%+$1,241.27
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+292.2%+$447
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.69
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$315
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+115.4%+$374.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$498
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.99
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$310
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$119.57
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Roehampton: Naiktha Bains vs Victoria Allenbacked Naiktha Bains · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$71.4
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.89
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.1
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$696.77
Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.38
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$830
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+67.7%+$322.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.31
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$190
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$385
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Poker — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$195
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$195
All 4 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$928.05
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$2,690.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$133.4
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$122.5
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$625
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$325
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$295
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,970Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25.9%+$1,030
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$726.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.