NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dde956a19ac01461dd7221861cb063a022cf604098abeea5575cc6cc5b43010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Sharks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks | 43c | 142,096$60,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,997.62 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 43c | 52,627$22,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,717.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Kraken | 57c | 45,134$25,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,407.7 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kraken | 59c | 30,497$17,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,513.53 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 57c | 25,977$14,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,169.92 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Kraken | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kraken | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…60bebacked Sharks | 36c | 17,077$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…0afcbacked Kraken | 64c | 17,077$10,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 57c | 10,761$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.88 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 43c | 7,100$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.87 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Sharks | 43c | 6,833$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.87 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…e813backed Kraken | 58c | 6,734$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…49efbacked Sharks | 42c | 6,729$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 57c | 5,913$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.77 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 58c | 5,329$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.75 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Kraken | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kraken | 57c | 4,779$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.62 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 58c | 4,613$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 57c | 4,210$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.3 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sharks | 18c | 3,757$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kraken | 53c | 3,641$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.15 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken | 61c | 3,435$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.32 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Sharks | 42c | 3,388$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.12 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 58c | 3,000$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken | 53c | 2,700$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.99 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken | 72c | 2,269$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.37 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.2 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sharks | 42c | 2,108$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.36 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 47c | 2,106$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 57c | 2,040$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.31 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 58c | 2,016$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.34 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Kraken | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Sharks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Kraken | 53c | 1,978$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 57c | 1,924$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.32 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 3c | 1,888$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,709$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.82 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 41c | 1,637$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.15 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Kraken | 58c | 1,590$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.8 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Kraken | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 60c | 1,452$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Sharks | 42c | 1,379$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 5c | 1,305$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 57c | 1,085$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.55 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…28c9backed Kraken | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…4773backed Sharks | 43c | 1,012$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Sharks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Sharks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 9c | 995.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 58c | 982.39$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 36c | 968.33$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Kraken | 57c | 962.6$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 42c | 950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 60c | 930.71$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 42c | 828.02$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.77 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Kraken | 55c | 816.04$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.04 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Sharks | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Sharks | 41c | 736.1$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Sharks | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Sharks | 41c | 673.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sharks | 42c | 647$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.74 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 41c | 599.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks | 41c | 541.66$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Sharks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Sharks | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 5c | 489.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 58c | 485.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sharks | 44c | 480.39$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 41c | 472.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Sharks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 57c | 465.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 56c | 455.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 70c | 453.95$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 3c | 434.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Kraken | 59c | 406.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Kraken | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Sharks | 49c | 369.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Kraken | 56c | 354.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 20c | 340$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 32c | 337.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sharks | 41c | 325$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Kraken | 58c | 313.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Kraken | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sharks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Sharks | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Sharks | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 40c | 267.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Sharks | 12c | 245.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks | 13c | 241$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Kraken | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Krakenthis page
- Sharks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.