TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97da…d63b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Utah Mammoth advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Canes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$39.14
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$95.76
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.12
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.98
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.08
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.98
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.41
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.97
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$77.72
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.56
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Giants vs. Bravesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.35
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.02
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$369
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$89.35
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$152.27
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$71.51
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.7
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.52
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+581.8%+$85.33
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Katona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.