TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,609,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,640,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,609,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 826 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c495,872$277,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277,048.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over41c238,398$98,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,636.3814343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over45c118,290$52,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,575.0142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over40c97,510$39,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,506.2314843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over42c89,000$37,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,470.5612254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c41,501$17,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,276.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over37c40,674$15,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,464.5938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under59c32,000$18,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,879.963943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under51c27,694$14,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,15025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under46c23,753$11,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,02626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over41c22,436$9,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,254.641,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over53c16,145$8,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,645.988639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over52c16,145$8,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,721.892,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under63c15,969$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c14,006$8,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,244.951,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c12,860$5,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,514.861,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c12,805$7,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over42c12,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,959.9927345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under59c12,000$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.9729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c11,182$6,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,481.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under39c11,111$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.2919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under37c10,697$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under40c10,625$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.5220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under26c9,976$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.7144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under60c9,556$5,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.3740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over63c8,227$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.2641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Under61c8,131$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under45c7,483$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.191,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c7,077$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.9770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under43c6,955$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.5366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over58c6,925$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.0824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over50c6,923$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.377842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c6,851$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.3764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over47c6,347$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.462,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under60c6,333$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over38c6,140$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.8220724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over41c5,755$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.4110051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under60c5,500$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3004940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over52c5,198$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.7612655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0509645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over41c5,000$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97514351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9717748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under18c4,297$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.834845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under37c4,188$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c4,096$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.641,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over59c3,969$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.0675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under25c3,964$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over40c3,943$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.3518633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under13c3,853$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under60c3,722$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.6213259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,651$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked Under27c3,642$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+83.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over69c3,616$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.7520560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c3,574$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c3,407$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under59c3,297$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.7915642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under32c3,276$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.989525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over62c3,224$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.1327032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Under20c3,188$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.539033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ef…372cbacked Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c3,091$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under57c3,086$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.9737242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Over53c3,032$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.93751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over80c3,019$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0636539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.996152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under59c2,926$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.6910744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under46c2,854$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.855925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c2,825$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under58c2,683$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.0239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under30c2,675$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over52c2,557$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.3646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under54c2,405$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under58c2,400$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under48c2,357$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.2444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over43c2,326$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.874740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under27c2,262$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.1322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over76c2,172$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.3511254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over31c2,133$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.761,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over79c2,120$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.949742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under44c2,015$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.2337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99db…97eabacked Over62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.988748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under34c1,990$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9918628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under28c1,934$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6446546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over73c1,817$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c1,791$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under68c1,732$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.756352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over70c1,724$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2436234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.