TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c13,701$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c12,794$9,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over5c9,999$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.951723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+107.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under58c9,974$5,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.1444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c6,737$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under58c6,011$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.6313223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over44c5,619$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.4824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over24c4,747$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.3464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under64c4,280$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.1725336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over33c3,537$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.333735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over26c3,129$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over17c3,026$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Over17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c2,595$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Under59c2,337$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under71c2,102$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7223353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over40c1,897$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.0725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over8c1,640$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Over13c1,631$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21331611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under58c1,473$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over31c1,458$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4517534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over31c1,345$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over42c1,270$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c1,239$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over38c1,055$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9353629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c1,033$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Under68c992.56$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.48952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over34c926.32$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over41c847.08$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over16c683.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over41c645.18$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over12c631.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over21c580.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.321,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over22c512.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under78c507.83$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7213727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c493.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.391,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over42c477.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over39c468.91$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.491,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Over23c468.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over42c465$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.319944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over19c393.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c364.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.342,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over15c356.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.511,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over16c332$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over43c324.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9914526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c318.79$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under64c304.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.518367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.515863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under66c292$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.852,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over35c284.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over42c240.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10114655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under63c235.86$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.52,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6810169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over39c188.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c179$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.062,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under65c153.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c151$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf9…9188backed Over40c133.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.233652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.213,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8970…f311backed Over43c115.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over12c112.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5524825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under70c108.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over28c105.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.881,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Over19c101.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.339418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Under75c100.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e6…4b83backed Over32c94.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba2…0b2abacked Over16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514554.5%79 W · 66 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Under72c82.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2319450.5%98 W · 96 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under59c82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6292732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under62c79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.372,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over37c78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over16c76.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.193,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over16c75.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.044427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over24c74.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b83…2eadbacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209328%26 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108130.9%25 W · 56 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Under58c60.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1122627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over17c59.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Under67c55.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.228058.8%47 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under76c52.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8246243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over30c51.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5745536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe329…982ebacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1001…0cf1backed Over42c45.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.422,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over44c44.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.646728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.