TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c50,738$11,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4604,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c25,937$19,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.874,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c18,872$14,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under22c17,644$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.6420731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c12,854$10,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.272,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c6,138$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c4,167$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c4,024$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c3,697$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.5730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c3,205$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c2,803$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over74c2,600$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6865328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over79c2,590$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.814351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over79c1,882$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.558652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over79c1,720$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2516750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c1,521$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.972,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c1,260$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c1,250$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c1,190$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under22c1,012$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad2…3a5dbacked Over79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.492369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over71c704.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.517374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over79c631.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.728367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under26c620.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.33551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c572.56$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.452,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over79c553.16$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1610042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11518465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14075335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c481.63$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.761,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under22c471.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over78c449$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under32c428$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over80c415.34$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.349752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over75c399.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016550.8%33 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c382.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over78c373.79$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2317735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a38…ab6dbacked Over79c367.09$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.091877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under31c322$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under8c311.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.948321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c294$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under21c287.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3551…ab11backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf799…6255backed Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.414273.8%31 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.416756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Over80c250.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.399053.3%48 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under21c249.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Over79c213.73$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.885565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under30c204.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2645548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Under21c203.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.810041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over77c190.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7815456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under16c182.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7721227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c173.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.922,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over79c171.66$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0514866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under22c167.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e7…c6ccbacked Over67c161.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7552…d758backed Over79c141.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over75c133.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.811549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under32c132.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.530547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over76c131.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8713862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.65267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over78c129.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c9…eac8backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over73c127.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under14c122.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9424246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2860…d629backed Over78c121.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.773641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69aa…015abacked Over79c116.46$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.463745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under22c112.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Over72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.114637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under24c108.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.911,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under23c108$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked Over78c102.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.483154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d7e…3b97backed Over79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.273672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2231358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238863.6%56 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2317558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Over74c98.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9220048%96 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a0…aee7backed Under22c95.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over79c94.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under25c93.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c93.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4b…3568backed Over78c89.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445364.2%34 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d3…694fbacked Over78c88.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3537352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under22c83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2610335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under31c82.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…9f71backed Over78c71.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.685836.2%21 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over79c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.734247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4411563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37b…63a1backed Over77c69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.592951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f1…1a08backed Under23c68.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.