TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over14c40,103$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,674.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over11c15,426$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.8670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over12c12,183$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.21,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c8,776$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c7,407$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over11c3,803$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.331,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over6c3,747$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7416325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c3,616$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over11c3,451$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6712117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over20c3,422$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c3,086$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under79c2,580$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c2,085$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over6c1,933$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under79c1,878$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.976749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c1,686$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under80c1,268$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c924.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.352,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over11c921.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.411,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under78c710$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.226344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over11c640.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12519957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c609.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over7c480.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c458.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.911,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Over11c454.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over12c426.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over12c420.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over14c360.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over7c357$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b7…cb5abacked Over18c342$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over10c332.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over14c331.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Over15c328.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over11c307.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over10c270.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over7c232$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.723540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over11c228$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0825741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over17c227.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1423736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e71…dd82backed Over9c223.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over8c221.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over11c218$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4632317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over11c204.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over8c177.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2441551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Over9c173.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157544%33 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over10c164.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Over12c160.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.299418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over11c158.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4646243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over18c138.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9347029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55c8…b64bbacked Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over10c136$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over14c131$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over15c126.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over8c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce04…e871backed Over12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb087…046bbacked Over12c112.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over11c107$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over12c101.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123845.4%108 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512446.8%58 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over11c96.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff32…7da9backed Over13c84.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.622263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Over15c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1534540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over21c59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over21c58.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.041,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…3dfcbacked Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under79c20.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2610855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.