TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Argentina (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jordanof Argentina, Jordan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,642 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb87b…3626backed Argentina9c10,000$900 inLost-$899.9924526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Argentina11c2,717$310 inLost-$31012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Argentina17c1,882$320 inLost-$3206749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Argentina11c1,000$110 inLost-$1109741.2%40 W · 57 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Argentina12c859.84$100 inLost-$1008143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Argentina7c715.71$50 inLost-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Argentina8c625$50 inLost-$5016538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Argentina12c416.67$50 inLost-$5022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Argentina8c375$30 inLost-$3014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Argentina14c239.99$34 inLost-$33.745536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed40…e2f4backed Argentina11c218.18$24 inLost-$24267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Argentina12c210.83$25 inLost-$24.569428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Argentina12c167.5$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Argentina13c155.99$20 inLost-$19.6224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4029…05d3backed Argentina12c126.4$15 inLost-$156619.7%13 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-50.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Argentina13c114.79$15 inLost-$158923.6%21 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb297…e18ebacked Argentina10c100$10 inLost-$105425.9%14 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Argentina12c100$12 inLost-$123638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b03…4dc0backed Argentina11c99.99$11 inLost-$111936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb064…c2c2backed Argentina12c83.75$10 inLost-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25f9…51d1backed Argentina20c75$15 inLost-$156050%30 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.