TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c6,485$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over36c5,021$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,211.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1508617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Under63c4,373$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.981752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under67c4,247$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c4,185$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under6c4,138$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.112,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under64c4,094$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under74c4,081$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked Over29c3,535$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+83.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under64c3,211$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over36c2,900$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under61c2,411$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.421,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over29c2,046$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.6441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under62c1,873$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under62c1,614$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.3211641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5c…174ebacked Under64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c1,435$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.0570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under8c1,356$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.255726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over37c1,160$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.7561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under71c1,078$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.3816357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under59c1,070$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.0315642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Over39c1,019$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.377038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under69c1,014$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under61c1,013$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.9916633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under78c987.5$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c887.2$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c720.37$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over38c657$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.342,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c657$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.343,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over37c612.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3210339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3158032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under10c500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c494.68$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under60c403.38$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0336448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…86b1backed Over28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1411044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c357.07$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c352.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under62c300$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.051,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under38c290.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over34c281.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2718247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under79c258.35$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.94663%29 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9943…a5e9backed Under60c239.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.74656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over26c239$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.811,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under61c230.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0845254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under75c209.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1578045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over25c207.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9934231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under8c205$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Under75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12269534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11816841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under7c169.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c166.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.681,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Under64c153.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.489749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaaf…8031backed Under62c151.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.073036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Over24c137.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8110335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1444144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c134.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over38c131$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2211147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.616655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over42c126.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6224947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under61c120.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over41c111.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2629529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Over41c105$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.958544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc2d…7108backed Over29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4514137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under62c101.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.973,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Under63c101.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over38c101.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5033…41dabacked Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…3f0bbacked Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c95.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.021,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c93.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.351,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over40c91.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Over38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9861855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under68c87.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over54c85.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4320850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over38c85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.941,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…2548backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e47…d3c7backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Under63c79.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8416250%81 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b1…39dabacked Under64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Over26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9221820.2%44 W · 174 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Over36c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over39c71.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under70c70.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.