TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a03…a455

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220.37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.43
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.79
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.21
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.5
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$184.1
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.39
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.37
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$126.75
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.83
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+162.3%+$2,054.88
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$434.48
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600.64
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66%+$672.71
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,701Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+62.2%+$1,679.96
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Foggia: Darya Astakhova vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.66
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$476.72
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.52
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$444
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+160.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$352
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$636.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$284.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winnerbacked 4 Anchors and Ilmeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,625.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.