MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab32addd22f40ad39609824e7f10a4a0bc00e73d46f095851dbf8a3c7698244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof San Diego Padres, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,216,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,319,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,216,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 344,697$203,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,506.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 277,006$167,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,585.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 150,000$61,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 130,306$35,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,639.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 28,723$11,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,906.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 24,817$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,317.11 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 24,300$9,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,963 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 23,700$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005.13 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 23,306$13,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.37 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 21,346$8,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 20,938$12,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,807.77 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 19,118$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,732.73 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 17,934$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.85 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 14,000$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 13,954$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.05 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 12,951$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.83 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 11,904$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.66 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 11,701$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.59 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 11,025$7,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 10,300$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…1ab0backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 9,207$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 9,036$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.19 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 8,200$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 5,800$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.65 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 5,088$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 4,661$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.46 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,652$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.86 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,780$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 3,752$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.74 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,318$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 3,203$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,121$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 3,033$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,826$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,736$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.84 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…2bfabacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,658$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,596$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.83 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,574$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,555$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.06 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,438$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,337$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,316$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.53 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,226$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,125$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,995$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.73 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,660$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,577$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.61 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 1,560$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,479$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,344$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.55 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,310$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,298$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,223$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,151$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.8 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,058$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.78 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,029$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.11 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…a455backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,000$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 999.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 944$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 942.59$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…b8f2backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 937.06$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 935.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.73 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 934.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 887.5$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 872$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 863.94$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 840.61$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 793.43$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 792.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 787.55$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 770.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 759.97$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 758.71$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 740$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 736.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 736.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 729.58$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 719.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 681.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.