NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b3d7a2037b3faa7e1306d741840d453432902d73cc9a146a035e40271eae73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,740,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,707,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,740,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 14,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 330,399$100,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,575.21 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Yes | 20c | 324,158$63,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,275.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 318,488$87,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,617.97 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 23c | 275,658$63,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,981.86 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 31c | 262,495$82,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,082.93 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 15c | 255,608$37,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,348.59 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yes | 12c | 238,813$29,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,357.94 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…8b3abacked Yes | 22c | 232,989$52,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,132.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 229,512$35,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,236.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 17c | 227,927$38,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,786.18 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 21c | 225,798$46,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,639.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 197,572$143,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,001.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed Yes | 15c | 196,377$28,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,648.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 27c | 190,190$51,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,106.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 185,073$44,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,592.22 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yes | 16c | 178,373$27,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,702.3 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 5c | 175,326$8,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,488.76 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 22c | 173,173$37,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,551.89 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 17c | 168,591$28,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,865.77 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 31c | 167,258$52,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,158.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…64c8backed Yes | 15c | 165,727$24,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,120.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 7c | 164,326$11,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 63c | 163,196$103,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,544.84 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 22c | 161,966$34,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,840.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 31cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 17c | 160,403$27,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,645.66 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 6c | 155,555$8,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.52 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 31c | 151,333$47,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,074.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 16c | 151,248$23,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,671.44 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…e5ccbacked Yes | 19c | 146,667$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Yes | 43c | 142,141$61,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,317.28 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 25c | 138,833$34,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,547.09 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Yes | 19c | 131,692$25,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,427.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 15c | 131,263$19,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,970.56 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 124,179$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.34 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 25c | 121,559$30,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,107.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 35c | 118,478$41,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,253.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 15c | 116,625$16,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,963.21 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 46c | 112,893$51,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,367.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 18c | 112,017$20,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,087.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 8c | 111,935$9,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,401.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Yes | 20c | 103,212$20,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,589.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…bce3backed Yes | 50c | 101,999$50,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,864.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 24c | 101,317$24,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,294.44 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 47c | 96,517$44,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,976.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 26c | 96,451$24,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,971.92 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…2e85backed Yes | 22c | 96,334$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 4c | 96,296$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.18 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 17c | 95,737$16,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,609.44 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked Yes | 15c | 94,316$14,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,174.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 33c | 94,201$30,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,630.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…950abacked Yes | 3c | 94,020$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…458bbacked Yes | 32c | 93,375$29,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,831.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes | 24c | 92,735$21,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,849.73 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 48c | 90,000$43,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,123 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Yes | 23c | 88,322$19,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,956.28 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 85,860$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,119.28 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 3c | 82,843$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.32 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…2ed1backed No | 78c | 82,451$64,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,825.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 17c | 81,373$14,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,195.82 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 74c | 80,842$59,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,137.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 5c | 80,146$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.69 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 19c | 79,929$15,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,565.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Yes | 22c | 79,031$17,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,370.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…7bd2backed Yes | 14c | 77,233$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,598.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…2bb2backed Yes | 64c | 76,840$49,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,399.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 78c | 75,959$59,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,556.95 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 27c | 75,559$20,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,756.28 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Yes | 17c | 74,800$12,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,931.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 22c | 74,523$16,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,092.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 74c | 74,068$54,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,122.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…d46cbacked Yes | 66c | 73,877$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…bf0cbacked Yes | 64c | 72,548$46,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,335.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes | 18c | 71,384$12,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,557.49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes | 33c | 70,926$23,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,674.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…3757backed Yes | 15c | 66,812$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,967.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed No | 37c | 66,592$24,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,823.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…ffe0backed No | 37c | 66,049$24,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,676.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 32cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 65,141$24,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,269.95 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 64,837$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.42 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked No | 61c | 64,622$39,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,151.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 8c | 64,440$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.51 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…ffcdbacked Yes | 26c | 64,185$16,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,556.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 13c | 64,170$8,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.32 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Yes | 26c | 64,063$16,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,409.4 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes | 22c | 63,260$13,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,688.38 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed No | 35c | 62,227$22,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,138.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Yes | 15c | 61,585$9,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,237.73 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9d60backed Yes | 19c | 60,919$11,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 10c | 60,551$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.78 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 18c | 60,495$10,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,975.08 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d033backed Yes | 47c | 60,000$28,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,139.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…7101backed Yes | 17c | 58,800$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 20c | 55,445$11,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,088.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 13c | 54,482$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,276.78 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Yes | 7c | 54,416$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.8 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 64c | 52,750$33,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,716.42 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 52,519$7,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,974.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 13c | 52,075$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.89 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Yes | 23c | 51,821$11,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,826.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 24c | 51,699$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,245.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 34cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.