TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,842,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,904,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,842,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd60c…fb26backed Yes2c918,305$20,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,382.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c428,758$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.1939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f5…2e8dbacked Yes0c300,000$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes2c269,004$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.5360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c174,390$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.44130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c160,271$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes1c133,690$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.6814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Yes0c131,666$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.556653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes2c126,490$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.78358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes2c119,106$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.1195641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes1c118,324$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.9212740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes1c115,394$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.632010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes1c99,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes1c78,435$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.5615724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes1c66,188$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8412229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes1c49,994$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes4c47,066$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.764910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes1c46,007$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0470%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c45,099$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.9782440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes1c43,765$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.32150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes4c40,793$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.4425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes1c38,733$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.689341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes1c37,848$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.94130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes2c35,928$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.32417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes2c34,028$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.188429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c33,714$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.141315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c31,224$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.22333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e9…08b7backed Yes1c30,119$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes1c30,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x355b…ef9fbacked Yes1c30,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes2c29,584$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.461315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+126.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes1c28,545$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.671010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c28,051$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1240133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c27,458$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3160834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…a099backed Yes2c26,621$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes1c25,627$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.279338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes1c25,484$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefc…0988backed Yes1c25,289$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d3…cac1backed Yes2c25,106$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes4c24,154$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c22,466$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.35984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa3…c7c2backed Yes2c21,729$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Yes1c21,458$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.812427.4%34 W · 90 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes1c21,247$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2177726%20 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes2c21,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes1c20,492$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8512930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes2c20,426$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012836.7%47 W · 81 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…ce04backed Yes1c20,075$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9520…e8d3backed Yes3c20,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Yes4c20,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes1c19,881$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.44456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae8f…cb57backed Yes3c19,750$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes0c19,536$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6114334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…2475backed Yes2c19,386$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes1c19,334$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.31730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c18,977$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.483010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…575cbacked Yes2c18,830$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332f…d8d8backed Yes2c18,612$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes2c18,488$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.981010%1 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick2cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Yes1c18,360$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7f…8517backed Yes2c17,905$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Yes2c17,898$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4726backed Yes2c17,872$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…d452backed Yes2c17,840$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabee…b859backed Yes2c17,724$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+800.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Yes2c17,694$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6222953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabb…d0dbbacked Yes2c17,501$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…e47bbacked Yes2c17,385$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed6…5e09backed Yes2c17,328$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2e…b071backed Yes1c17,175$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c17,167$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.17535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074f…2ff6backed Yes2c17,084$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…cd8ebacked Yes2c17,026$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes1c16,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.751711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f72…d9b8backed Yes1c16,920$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911c…f64abacked Yes1c16,898$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…2f9abacked Yes2c16,884$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…5de0backed Yes1c16,708$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde4…4302backed Yes2c16,609$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Yes2c16,562$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5410752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a4…dd85backed Yes2c16,464$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc498…cdc0backed Yes1c16,382$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106e…aa20backed Yes2c16,340$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…e06cbacked Yes2c16,268$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38d…a651backed Yes1c16,204$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…944dbacked Yes2c16,113$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…a649backed Yes1c16,102$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes1c16,085$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3544…432fbacked Yes2c16,077$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed Yes2c15,946$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.332626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Yes1c15,913$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.132634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3157…0ab7backed Yes1c15,893$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…f316backed Yes2c15,886$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes1c14,865$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.651,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b2…caf1backed Yes1c14,812$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff95…c4e3backed Yes1c14,552$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes1c14,367$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bb…196cbacked Yes2c14,244$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf8…115fbacked Yes2c13,875$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes2c13,834$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.716820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.