NBA · resolved market

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf7ab9e6b6d324ffe436bab8c7a1e10aeb8200e10c1e1dbb35d2959becebc1e

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,519,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,277,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,519,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	0c	3,223,015$9,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,037.96	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes	0c	859,791$3,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,018.13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	663,523$5,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,170.52	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9265…2cc0backed Yes	1c	647,622$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	1c	596,726$8,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,863.36	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes	0c	486,232$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.23	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	0c	450,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes	0c	280,632$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.63	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes	0c	219,819$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.82	14	0%0 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	202,303$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.42	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	0c	150,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf417…40f0backed Yes	0c	139,120$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	2c	128,294$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,603.98	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Yes	3c	126,911$3,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,226.48	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Yes	0c	123,186$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.86	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+4.8wins	+0.32per pick	21cpaid	+237.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c28…9e49backed Yes	1c	121,692$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Yes	2c	113,601$2,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,536	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	83,994$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.94	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	0c	75,849$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.22	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	3c	67,850$1,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,779.02	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked Yes	0c	62,000$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	+65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	1c	61,753$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.27	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba5…c168backed Yes	0c	60,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	1c	58,095$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.61	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes	3c	57,319$1,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,987.07	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f47cbacked Yes	0c	50,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes	0c	48,000$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	268	24.6%66 W · 202 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…c231backed Yes	0c	41,577$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.53	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eac…3d65backed Yes	0c	36,230$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	9cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes	0c	35,240$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes	0c	35,130$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.46	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	0c	34,246$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.61	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes	2c	32,508$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.36	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa324…afc9backed Yes	1c	30,562$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.94	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	1c	30,396$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.2	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes	1c	29,705$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.13	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712b…d2c0backed Yes	0c	29,549$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	2c	29,474$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.57	77	23.4%18 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes	2c	27,879$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.07	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	4c	27,861$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.84	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	2c	27,112$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.32	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5395…fdccbacked Yes	2c	27,043$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.51	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes	3c	25,291$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.81	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+13.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes	2c	25,230$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.83	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	25,142$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.47	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	2c	24,916$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.23	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x924c…497ebacked Yes	1c	24,900$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes	0c	24,896$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.31	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes	6c	23,166$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	271	58.3%158 W · 113 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a47…1430backed Yes	2c	22,967$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	21,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	2c	20,251$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.82	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe589…0666backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.26per pick	18cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9410…9160backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…773abacked Yes	0c	20,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fe…b472backed Yes	3c	20,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	2c	19,756$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.54	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	5c	18,129$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.24	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d0…eb6ebacked Yes	2c	17,509$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…8253backed Yes	0c	17,500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes	0c	17,248$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	181	33.7%61 W · 120 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	17,051$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.66	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	2c	16,949$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.72	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9639…bd9cbacked Yes	0c	16,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffd…a366backed Yes	0c	16,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1428…e173backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes	1c	15,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Yes	2c	14,910$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5144…7bcdbacked Yes	8c	14,652$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Yes	3c	13,908$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.69	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd036…ec4bbacked Yes	3c	13,682$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes	0c	13,605$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	255	46.7%119 W · 136 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	1c	13,478$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.38	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9728…0314backed Yes	2c	13,234$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.17	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	2c	13,112$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.09	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a4…7ddcbacked Yes	4c	12,620$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	3c	12,500$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.5	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x872a…9905backed Yes	0c	12,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	1c	11,795$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.41	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	1c	11,535$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.41	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes	0c	11,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	4c	11,231$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.71	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	10,532$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.62	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes	2c	10,500$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	157	24.2%38 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cc…ff07backed Yes	0c	10,130$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca09…1b05backed Yes	0c	10,120$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	14.1%13 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb7…f7d0backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes	2c	10,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…754ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f6…38cebacked Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a5…bedabacked Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc834…af40backed Yes	3c	10,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…ab31backed Yes	0c	9,950$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c11…778fbacked Yes	0c	9,875$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.66	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27c…1723backed Yes	1c	9,812$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30bc…c428backed Yes	0c	9,765$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	1c	9,627$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event