TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc99…7dc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.69
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.87
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+106.2%+$40.99
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$376.69
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.46
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+82%+$16.75
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$778.59
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+103.5%+$42.29
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.13
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+91.7%+$24.28
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.91
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.67
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$386
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$279.66
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.72
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$46.78
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.25
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$140.61
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$134.69
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.82
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Davis Aggies vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.68
Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Spread: Furman Paladins (-6.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.5
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-15.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.57
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+85.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.81
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+272%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$61.76
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+400%+$88.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop (BO3)backed Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$77.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.82
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$109.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.77
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$179.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$406.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$29.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$348.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.