NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc300185636e9215f1e9b58c19cb63dad3b51eca3d8ee4ef8b93c61820c0740c6

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $403,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $403,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Grizzlies	50c	65,132$32,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,565.78	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Timberwolves	50c	26,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Timberwolves	48c	25,841$12,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,384.72	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	50c	18,457$9,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,228.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies	56c	18,019$10,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,881.23	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies	50c	13,663$6,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,831.26	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Timberwolves	50c	12,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies	50c	10,806$5,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,402.89	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves	49c	10,601$5,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,183.74	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies	50c	9,050$4,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,525.73	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	49c	8,403$4,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,130.6	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves	51c	8,000$4,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,085.08	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Timberwolves	45c	6,566$2,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,985.79	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Timberwolves	50c	6,500$3,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,232.4	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	44c	6,012$2,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.39	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	43c	5,829$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.6	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0442…45b2backed Grizzlies	49c	5,571$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,841.42	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+124%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies	48c	5,428$2,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,822.69	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	45c	4,382$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.56	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies	50c	4,060$2,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.8	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves	50c	3,992$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.05	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Grizzlies	49c	3,980$1,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,014.95	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	52c	3,954$2,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,906.47	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.22	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Grizzlies	53c	3,862$2,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,815.17	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies	58c	3,826$2,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.17	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa679…7f4bbacked Grizzlies	49c	3,802$1,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x516a…efccbacked Timberwolves	51c	3,742$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7015…53dabacked Timberwolves	51c	3,711$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x665e…a91cbacked Grizzlies	49c	3,611$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb8…507cbacked Grizzlies	49c	3,452$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Timberwolves	43c	3,446$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.3	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa13b…d450backed Timberwolves	51c	3,387$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff1…5f67backed Grizzlies	49c	3,332$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,699.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe408…9054backed Grizzlies	49c	3,302$1,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves	50c	3,296$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,655.6	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c6…2fa7backed Timberwolves	51c	3,255$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11bd…9d38backed Grizzlies	49c	3,228$1,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,646.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…5427backed Timberwolves	51c	3,211$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3126…548abacked Timberwolves	51c	3,201$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f3…4d7cbacked Grizzlies	49c	3,178$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01cd…d0dbbacked Timberwolves	51c	3,158$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b8…dc52backed Timberwolves	51c	3,121$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,591.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafda…92c5backed Grizzlies	49c	3,112$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,587.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b92…78f2backed Grizzlies	49c	3,111$1,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e1…3108backed Timberwolves	51c	3,027$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2176…f686backed Timberwolves	51c	2,988$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	50c	2,962$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies	54c	2,957$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.93	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a8…0083backed Grizzlies	49c	2,931$1,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe18…a3acbacked Timberwolves	51c	2,928$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,493.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4a…8753backed Grizzlies	49c	2,863$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,800$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves	45c	2,744$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.37	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies	51c	2,698$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.04	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6c…0f56backed Timberwolves	51c	2,629$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd57…3d28backed Grizzlies	49c	2,436$1,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.36	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies	49c	2,400$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.87	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Timberwolves	47c	2,317$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.01	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.44	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…a0c9backed Timberwolves	51c	2,200$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies	51c	2,168$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.77	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	18c	2,130$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.02	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,078$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	48c	2,003$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.62	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Grizzlies	51c	1,996$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.8	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves	44c	1,990$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.59	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bad…6e18backed Timberwolves	51c	1,985$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…6205backed Timberwolves	51c	1,963$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ec…9a57backed Timberwolves	51c	1,897$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5f…4cb3backed Grizzlies	49c	1,821$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.71	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies	51c	1,803$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.91	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	47c	1,802$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.36	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5418…aaabbacked Timberwolves	51c	1,800$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a82…b1a5backed Timberwolves	51c	1,745$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves	48c	1,711$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.12	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Timberwolves	49c	1,675$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.52	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742a…0cf6backed Grizzlies	49c	1,652$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Timberwolves	50c	1,650$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbc…6690backed Timberwolves	51c	1,571$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5496…a8b1backed Timberwolves	51c	1,531$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Timberwolves	43c	1,528$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.11	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69e…105bbacked Grizzlies	49c	1,521$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	40c	1,498$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.2	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…0f03backed Timberwolves	51c	1,322$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…e5ffbacked Grizzlies	49c	1,321$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf9…91ffbacked Grizzlies	49c	1,254$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Grizzlies	51c	1,245$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.87	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves	27c	1,245$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.29	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3d…50afbacked Timberwolves	51c	1,211$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6298…8a31backed Grizzlies	49c	1,201$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Timberwolves	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Timberwolves	50c	1,150$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves	45c	1,131$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.08	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae01…cca6backed Timberwolves	51c	1,124$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac2…8a87backed Grizzlies	49c	1,123$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.73	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Grizzlies	50c	1,111$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.5	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event