NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f5837d5587b80ec7a19bc312891117c10efbf40a0490021d1e1b191379ddf5

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,800 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb683…2c90backed Under	51c	3,095$1,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef7…0b94backed Under	51c	3,070$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…bf5abacked Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47ad…18d7backed Under	51c	2,974$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c85…1afabacked Over	49c	2,950$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ac…3610backed Over	49c	2,935$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,496.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…bd50backed Over	49c	2,921$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0372…75edbacked Over	49c	2,876$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cf…6f00backed Over	49c	2,847$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…6258backed Under	51c	2,833$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.83	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0e…a607backed Over	49c	2,814$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,435.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeac…524bbacked Over	49c	2,770$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5e…0cf6backed Under	51c	2,712$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe092…f556backed Over	49c	2,700$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccba…83dfbacked Under	51c	2,687$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1581…d36dbacked Under	51c	2,625$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3d…50afbacked Over	49c	2,599$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16dc…df34backed Under	51c	2,540$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x331f…f8d7backed Over	49c	2,505$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…ba0bbacked Over	52c	2,412$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x017b…e543backed Under	51c	2,381$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c0c…3a2dbacked Under	48c	1,945$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8458…0132backed Under	47c	1,622$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2f…ffbdbacked Over	53c	1,534$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…631dbacked Over	53c	1,322$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cca…7cb8backed Over	53c	1,322$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf09…44fdbacked Over	53c	1,321$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x097c…9f30backed Under	47c	1,211$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x229c…36b1backed Under	47c	1,211$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…4199backed Under	47c	1,152$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815a…fe34backed Over	53c	1,121$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…da97backed Under	47c	1,023$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…4926backed Under	47c	920$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	743.27$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.37	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b5e…1082backed Over	53c	519$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2364…b3e3backed Under	48c	433$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under	47c	403$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.41	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	415	50.1%208 W · 207 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	142	54.9%78 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	48c	305.76$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	54c	240.37$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	42c	240.28$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.55	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	53c	226.4$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	45c	219.09$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.59	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	204.17$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.88	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Under	49c	153.29$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under	46c	150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	47c	143$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.21	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	54c	134.7$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.6	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	89.73$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.86	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under	46c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Over	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	45c	59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6530…4525backed Under	54c	57.79$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over	50c	49.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.93	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	47c	49.54$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57a…a337backed Over	54c	39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Over	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over	53c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.45	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under	52c	34.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	409	60.6%248 W · 161 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Over	54c	34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f8…19cebacked Under	48c	34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	227	56.8%129 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over	54c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Over	53c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed Over	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	67cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Under	49c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over	50c	26.65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over	53c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over	54c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	46c	23.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over	54c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a00…0014backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over	56c	18.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.31	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5this page
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event