TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No58c960.04$556 inLost-$556.271,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No58c499.99$290 inLost-$2901,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes42c417.36$174 inWon+$243.0843543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No61c416$254 inLost-$253.9726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes41c400$166 inWon+$234.59848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes40c388.34$154 inWon+$233.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No60c309.98$186 inLost-$185.6945657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b09…6c2bbacked Yes42c290.47$122 inWon+$168.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…5249backed Yes38c211.92$81 inWon+$130.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…e4a0backed Yes42c209.52$88 inWon+$121.521060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed No53c200$106 inLost-$1063138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb68e…7b37backed Yes43c186.05$80 inWon+$106.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No59c169.34$100 inLost-$10071449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Yes40c99.99$40 inWon+$604535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Yes44c68.12$30 inWon+$38.126946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes42c59$25 inWon+$34.228151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d7…da51backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon+$31.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Yes42c35.4$15 inWon+$20.531643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No59c26$15 inLost-$15.3460267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b56…6431backed No61c24.25$15 inLost-$14.733066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed No58c24$14 inLost-$13.922347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed No58c24$14 inLost-$13.922343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed No59c20$12 inLost-$11.82040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.