TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,482 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes53c1,111$589 inWon+$522.1739051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed No47c1,064$500 inLost-$50031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No57c309.52$176 inLost-$176.2345657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No45c192.59$87 inLost-$86.592,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No56c187.99$105 inLost-$105.2871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…a44abacked Yes44c159.73$70 inWon+$89.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Yes44c135.99$60 inWon+$76.359848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes45c100$45 inWon+$5517250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked No55c100$55 inLost-$553966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon+$42.5937352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Yes42c70$29 inWon+$40.64535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No52c54.1$28 inLost-$28.11,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7d7…da51backed Yes42c47.82$20 inWon+$27.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be4…d8edbacked Yes42c42.86$18 inWon+$24.863644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed No47c41.98$20 inLost-$19.7355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c6…d77ebacked Yes49c28.57$14 inWon+$14.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No58c26$15 inLost-$15.0860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b56…6431backed No58c25.71$15 inLost-$153066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e0…439abacked Yes47c25.53$12 inWon+$13.532317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.