NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf568790829c52a2b27a91b41ff5d29bc8dea3c1b86a33a872d4104e86af899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cc7…9cbcbacked Over | 52c | 6,115$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ceb2backed Under | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…fa39backed Under | 48c | 2,115$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…e873backed Under | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…3a2dbacked Over | 57c | 497$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 453.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 326.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…b3e3backed Under | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…ba0bbacked Under | 43c | 181$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 145.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 43c | 139$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 38c | 109.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…19cebacked Under | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 59c | 84.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 66c | 83.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 63.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 35c | 59.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Over | 62c | 51.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 50.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 59c | 50.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 33c | 37.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 66c | 34.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.