TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x608b…6e88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.74
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.89
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Kings vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.36
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Spread: Kings (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.28
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.78
Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.85
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.34
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.9
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.91
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.89
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Colgate Raiders vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.38
Colgate Raiders vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.78
Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.76
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$23.85
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Lamar Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.2
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.6
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-9.5)backed James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.18
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-5.5)backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.15
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-1.5)backed Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22.08
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.02
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-11.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.96
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.31
Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$3.2
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3.2
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Coachella Valley Firebirdsbacked Abbotsford Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$16.74
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.86
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktorbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.18
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Spartak Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.05
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.79
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.57
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.12
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.34
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.84
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigersbacked Augsburger Panther · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.72
Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.63
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.34
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.03
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.4
Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.58
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.61
Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.18
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.13
Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.44
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.16
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.44
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.93
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.82
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.79
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$38.88
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buse vs. Passaro: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Zheng vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.67
Svajda vs. Boyer: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.12
Griekspoor vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.05
Volynets vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.09
Tauson vs. Kessler: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Udvardy vs. Parry: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.65
Zidansek vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Sramkova vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Martinez vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Stearns vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.88
Tabilo vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)backed Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.15
ASB Classic: Ella Seidel vs Sonay Kartalbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Muller vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.67
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.98
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$23.32
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$12
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.81
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.02
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.2
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$25.37
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.44
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)backed AVS Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.06
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$18.86
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.04
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20.64
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.68
Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$12.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10.92
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+195.9%+$33.1
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.84
Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.96
1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.85
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.95
Partizan vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Gran Canariabacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.98
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Partizanbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$7.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1)backed GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.