Tennis · resolved market
Sramkova vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b01202dd79b1a25dae9ce61c6c2f476067df40edb88f9fe72ab79250f362ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 172$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 128.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 112.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 95.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 53c | 94.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 94.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sramkova vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Ostrava Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova won
- Set Handicap: Sramkova (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)Fruhvirtova won
- Sramkova vs. Fruhvirtova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Sramkova vs. Fruhvirtova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.