TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under48c18,171$8,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,538.8424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c12,637$6,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,662.664465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over58c6,506$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.475657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8551,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under42c3,177$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.5448347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under42c2,272$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.761,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over53c1,887$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c1,746$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.871,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c1,017$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…7f31backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c975.72$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over55c964.03$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6733150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under46c685.92$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.466250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c654.06$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.722,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c581.03$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over54c546$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c519$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under45c377.04$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c359.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c314.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under45c289$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over56c287.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under46c273.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4118852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Over35c271.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c252$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c220.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.992,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10223748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under44c199.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.994055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.277040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c134.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.52,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.66043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.257643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under48c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.945244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under41c97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.237448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under42c95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.16349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb391…8939backed Over55c89.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.493751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c85.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under45c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under42c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.646953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under42c57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.067451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c55.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under53c47.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0954351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over58c44.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.28752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9639449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Over45c40.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5618155.2%100 W · 81 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under49c40.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5216343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under41c37.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under41c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.655651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under74c31.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under42c31.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under45c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over52c29.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1740960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9105…1ae2backed Over56c26.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.756349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Over55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Over55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.753452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Under49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Over55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a14…8610backed Over55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over59c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.576157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.344850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254f…2fb8backed Over56c22.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.764165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over55c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…87dabacked Over56c20.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b62…c3e9backed Over56c20.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dfb…266abacked Over56c20.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.