NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc958f028a2cff285cec6e06510cb8037571eb35f86120c6a8c69e10144b91c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 50c | 14,116$7,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 9,748$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 6,294$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 48c | 4,670$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.6 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…7ac3backed Under | 52c | 2,831$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 2,639$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 2,399$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 50c | 1,894$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.9 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,356$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 780$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 552.77$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 436$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 276$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 272.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…cf30backed Under | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 49c | 171.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 148.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 135.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…0ea7backed Under | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 125.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 48c | 118.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 79c | 100.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8c8bbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 79.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 50c | 61.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 51c | 48.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5c15backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…08afbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…f6e4backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…50e5backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5dbdbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…e0a7backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…3d4abacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…d8ffbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…4781backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…0e40backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 40.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Under | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 52c | 34.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…8d7fbacked Under | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…0308backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 52c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…d70ebacked Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…9942backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.