NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283ad259c3ce89fee73eda0d42066d0652b8a339305337b45d91f3dbdff65c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Grizzlies | 27c | 913.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Rockets | 70c | 565.57$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.71 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 72c | 423.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…8a17backed Rockets | 75c | 290.17$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Grizzlies | 25c | 253$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Rockets | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Grizzlies | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa327…f97abacked Rockets | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Rockets | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Santi Aldama: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.