TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$792,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$792,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c601,007$312,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,067.7387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c346,970$166,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,424.482,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c90,000$43,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,40039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c80,364$39,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,58240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over51c25,294$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c14,028$6,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,303.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over54c13,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…baa9backed Over51c10,636$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.110949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8256152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c3,688$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c3,670$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.6166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2256453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c3,000$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.7643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.8633945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over51c2,325$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18616254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c2,244$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.672,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,938$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under50c1,800$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.7419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under46c1,725$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.3717744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,712$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,675$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c1,159$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf47c…6aabbacked Under49c748$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c585.44$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c526$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under50c514.29$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1510953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under49c450$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.518650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c420.92$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c408.16$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1663447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over51c396.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1625347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd440…a32ebacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under50c382.74$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3715849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Over53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.519149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over51c299.93$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.963240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c280.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f0…0a44backed Over51c266$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9983…0e66backed Over51c255$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over51c227.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2327943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb8…3d78backed Over51c227$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under49c158.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…58ecbacked Over55c129.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.343046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe03a…66f4backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under49c107$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5716036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over51c101.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9235747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fcb…74bdbacked Over51c99.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c99.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.695,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.143455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010135.6%36 W · 65 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074e…4a2dbacked Under50c69.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under46c68.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0911849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c67.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4731155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Under50c66.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over53c66.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over50c66.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.146756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2214450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Under50c49.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.955332.1%17 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6a…72e3backed Under51c49.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under48c44.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0718043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2722…697abacked Under50c44.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.334465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8243647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87f…68d1backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddc…0dcabacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over52c38.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1932347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over51c37.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314231%13 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under49c33.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.136634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under48c33.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3145460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c31.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under49c30.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.