TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3222…58ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.66
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.72
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$73.5
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.4
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$76.99
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170.63
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+45.4%+$18.74
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$71.34
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+45%+$62.09
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+91.3%+$19.09
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.31
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$68
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$74.39
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.49
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$58.27
Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$87.04
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.95
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.62
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.76
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.4%+$32.19
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.08
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+68.6%+$20.34
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94.95
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.4
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.31
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.78
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.45
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$124.64
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.73
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$24.56
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+80.1%+$29.02
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+65.5%+$38.59
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.8%+$18.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.79
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.