Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea8f6bcd997b1cfca2f64fcfeff7f7898708522abb10db5eaa2681ab7d725c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $672,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd820…19f6backed No | 62c | 298,370$184,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,586.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,999.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…2d14backed No | 62c | 148,247$91,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,353.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 68,122$27,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,384.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 44c | 24,333$10,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,742 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 10,499$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 38c | 9,999$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 9,476$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.17 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 9,200$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 8,506$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.25 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 7,000$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.5 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 40c | 5,300$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 39c | 4,999$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 4,546$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.53 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 72c | 4,217$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 16c | 3,955$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.06 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…836fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,048$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 35c | 2,323$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 63c | 2,237$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.76 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,083$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.67 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 1,938$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.42 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 1,910$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.74 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 1,884$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.87 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 60c | 1,361$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.26 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 1,200$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.13 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 1,154$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 60c | 1,104$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 44c | 977.36$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.93 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 39c | 931.3$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 38c | 853$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.14 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 802.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 61c | 799.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 55c | 787.66$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 44c | 776.85$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 712$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 37c | 668$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 600.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 34c | 523.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 11c | 470.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 39c | 450$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 420$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 420$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Yes | 39c | 394.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 365$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 62c | 363.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 361$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 318.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 313$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 38c | 308.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 39c | 291.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 55c | 274.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 267.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 262.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 39c | 251.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 57c | 249$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 8c | 240.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…20b7backed Yes | 47c | 234.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 68c | 220.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 22c | 211.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked No | 58c | 207.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 9c | 206.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.