Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a34a2b2c42232895b6fb17be7b93eddc4e3e413eb4c79ceaf5aabb6e86a66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 38,756$27,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,265.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 37,500$10,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,686.28 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,378$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.72 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,973$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 68c | 1,590$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,366$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 79c | 1,263$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 79c | 1,144$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…da18backed No | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 712.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 692.57$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed No | 47c | 635.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 572.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 568$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 75c | 513.19$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 501.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 415.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 7c | 399.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 338.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 73c | 334.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 46c | 312.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 31c | 300.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…02ccbacked No | 69c | 291.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…c577backed No | 69c | 279.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77d…aa76backed No | 69c | 278.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…e828backed Yes | 32c | 265.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 254.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…74f4backed No | 69c | 230.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…ddb7backed No | 69c | 218.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…d008backed No | 69c | 197.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fd…b25bbacked No | 69c | 189.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…656dbacked No | 69c | 175.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…f3dbbacked No | 69c | 171.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…836fbacked No | 35c | 170.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 33c | 167.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 30c | 164$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…1d29backed No | 69c | 153.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…483fbacked No | 69c | 153.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 139$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 32c | 128.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 124.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…364abacked Yes | 75c | 113.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed No | 38c | 111.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 42c | 101.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 40c | 95.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 68c | 87.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 76c | 80.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 21c | 71.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…2ae7backed No | 34c | 70.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 33c | 68.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 63c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 61.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…44d9backed Yes | 34c | 59.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 41c | 56.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 49.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 49.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 29c | 48.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 39c | 38.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 37.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 35.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.