TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa4fd…0095

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT5369.8%37 W · 16 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$334.74
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$433.33
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$277.97
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$600
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$576.47
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$416.33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.74
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$253.45
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$416.33
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.1%+$276.19
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$215.38
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$289.66
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$57.63
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$184.93
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$119.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+89.7%+$358.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.71
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$176.19
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+81%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$234.92
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.5%+$28.46
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$152
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$68.62
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$165.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$282.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.