CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c736c9391249fcc678fc8461194529768d0be2719c22c5540d8a5d8c308a4b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,142,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,300,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,142,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 300,725$180,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,222.89 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Astralis | 40c | 145,436$58,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,174.5 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 107,397$63,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,514.07 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Astralis | 42c | 101,292$42,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,252.45 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 18c | 55,555$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.89 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…d8a6backed Astralis | 39c | 35,008$13,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,653.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 38c | 30,748$11,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,684.09 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Astralis | 41c | 26,000$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,660.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 22,051$13,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,324.25 | 260 | 45.8%119 W · 141 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 31c | 18,221$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.95 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d0…6a80backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 17,589$10,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d1…bb78backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 17,293$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,744.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Astralis | 18c | 16,521$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.8 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Astralis | 20c | 15,667$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.96 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 39c | 15,420$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.68 | 606 | 39.9%242 W · 364 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Astralis | 39c | 11,004$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 25c | 10,451$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.35 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 40c | 10,217$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.57 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.84 | 779 | 57.4%447 W · 332 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Astralis | 39c | 9,714$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.13 | 464 | 43.1%200 W · 264 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 41c | 8,176$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.16 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Astralis | 37c | 8,102$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 7,519$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Astralis | 40c | 7,500$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Astralis | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 6,956$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.31 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 6,733$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 36c | 6,232$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 6,044$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Astralis | 38c | 6,035$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Astralis | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis | 38c | 5,947$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.97 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 5,850$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.81 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astralis | 41c | 5,664$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.53 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.94 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Astralis | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 5,047$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.9 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 5,016$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 39c | 5,000$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.28 | 1,094 | 51.1%559 W · 535 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 4,966$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.14 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…b19bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 4,965$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.99 | 978 | 40.7%398 W · 580 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 4,160$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.11 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 33c | 4,127$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 4,051$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.27 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 29c | 4,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.19 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Astralis | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 25c | 3,926$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.76 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 3,885$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.43 | 285 | 53.7%153 W · 132 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Astralis | 41c | 3,700$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Astralis | 41c | 3,630$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.3 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Astralis | 32c | 3,628$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Astralis | 41c | 3,624$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.73 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4bedbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 3,564$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 3,499$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.6 | 393 | 46.8%184 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 35c | 3,394$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.67 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…f68fbacked Astralis | 33c | 3,254$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.99 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 26c | 3,054$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.19 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis | 28c | 3,050$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.36 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,021$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.18 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…29e1backed Astralis | 40c | 3,003$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Astralis | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,938$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.75 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Astralis | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Astralis | 41c | 2,913$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.31 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,695$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.92 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Astralis | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 263 | 47.1%124 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Astralis | 38c | 2,581$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.2 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Astralis | 50c | 2,505$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astralis | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 275 | 53.1%146 W · 129 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 2,370$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.1 | 294 | 46.9%138 W · 156 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 2,335$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.91 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Astralis | 35c | 2,325$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.88 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,252$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.15 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Astralis | 42c | 2,165$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.41 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…204cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,100$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Astralis | 41c | 2,025$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.35 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,994$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.42 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Astralis | 5c | 1,958$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…9ba6backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,894$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…e10dbacked Astralis | 40c | 1,880$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,801$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.82 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,676$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 662 | 50.3%333 W · 329 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Astralis | 30c | 1,658$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 29c | 1,614$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.58 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Astralis | 33c | 1,600$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5edabacked Astralis | 38c | 1,567$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.