CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d1580bcf54b1426706017e8024988c9fa94cfa19a6a31ec45ec369966872a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 36c | 28,113$10,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,078.46 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 23,771$14,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,986.95 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 38c | 14,535$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.62 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 10,969$6,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.85 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Astralis | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 50c | 9,583$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 46c | 7,826$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 43c | 5,979$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.96 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 49c | 5,809$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.3 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Astralis | 58c | 4,938$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.51 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,145$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.89 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 53c | 3,918$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,814$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.43 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,328$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.58 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,280$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.9 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Astralis | 54c | 2,978$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.95 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,908$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.05 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 2,467$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.19 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Astralis | 59c | 2,390$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 45c | 2,169$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.27 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Astralis | 57c | 2,077$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 74c | 2,017$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 39c | 1,985$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.09 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 73c | 1,901$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…ca12backed Astralis | 40c | 1,885$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,852$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.72 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 39c | 1,711$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.63 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.98 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,551$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.02 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Astralis | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 55c | 1,498$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.07 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,444$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.67 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,435$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,411$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.85 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,325$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.39 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis | 38c | 1,319$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.34 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Astralis | 65c | 1,294$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Astralis | 72c | 1,282$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.13 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 35c | 1,240$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…06c2backed Astralis | 8c | 1,193$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,022$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.19 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,002$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.76 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,000$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.61 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 999.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.88 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…042cbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 984.36$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1c…1973backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 968.24$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 922$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.36 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 901.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.28 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 52c | 768.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 38c | 762$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 750$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 722.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.58 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 678.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.88 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 667.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Astralis | 60c | 667.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 650.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Astralis | 77c | 647.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Astralis | 46c | 619.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 64c | 599.92$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Astralis | 40c | 596.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 576.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.13 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Astralis | 38c | 563.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Astralis | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…9520backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 482.75$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 447$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…d88ebacked Astralis | 76c | 446.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.73 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Astralis | 45c | 445.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Astralis | 79c | 432.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 48c | 424.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 424.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 411.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Astralis | 65c | 397.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 383.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Astralis | 38c | 378.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 377$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 358.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 354.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 343.72$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 337.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…bc69backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 321.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Astralis | 35c | 309.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed Astralis | 68c | 307.35$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Astralis | 54c | 300.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Astralis | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 298.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Astralis | 36c | 293.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.