TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0be4…06c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.41
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Counter-Strike: TDK vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.2%+$13.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+234.4%+$107.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+178.3%+$186.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+125.2%+$19.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$101.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+50.5%+$19.56
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28%+$79.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.72
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+642.5%+$78.32
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+142.1%+$23.66
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$83.34
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.51
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.9%+$39.23
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+45.9%+$48.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+73.6%+$50.07
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$201.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.6%+$20.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+64.1%+$15.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.