Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f27277907cd157ee136f2123c3ad802265753b71796a41fdf40ba28ac54f56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 52c | 51,448$26,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,900.14 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons | 47c | 12,313$5,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.3 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 49c | 11,836$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.44 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Team Falcons | 2c | 11,552$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 50c | 10,308$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.65 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 8,779$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 5,753$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.65 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,230$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Team Falcons | 48c | 5,202$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 5,147$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.56 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 51c | 3,503$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.48 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Aurora | 50c | 3,159$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora | 50c | 3,015$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,867$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 65c | 2,831$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.45 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,318$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.64 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,285$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Aurora | 50c | 2,086$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Aurora | 49c | 2,046$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.46 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…f406backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,835$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,517$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.66 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Aurora | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,180$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.78 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 1,079$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,018$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Aurora | 74c | 1,000$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 54c | 997$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.58 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 994$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 54c | 919.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 859.38$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 839$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.21 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Aurora | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Falcons | 36c | 713.34$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 685.79$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 673.48$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 66c | 670.85$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Team Falcons | 49c | 598$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 51c | 586.27$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…5072backed Team Falcons | 49c | 565.02$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 16c | 562.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…8d72backed Aurora | 51c | 554.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Aurora | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Team Falcons | 25c | 539$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 50c | 518.4$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…d96dbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 481.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…c1dfbacked Aurora | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…1dd3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 469$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Aurora | 76c | 446.89$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Falcons | 48c | 431.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Aurora | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 399.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 391.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Aurora | 50c | 387.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Aurora | 67c | 380$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked Aurora | 52c | 377$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 358.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Aurora | 50c | 353.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…1e61backed Aurora | 78c | 344.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Aurora | 50c | 338.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Falcons | 50c | 302.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Aurora | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Falcons | 46c | 295.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…ca19backed Aurora | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Aurora | 65c | 277.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 252$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Aurora | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Falcons | 24c | 202$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Aurora | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 50c | 199.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 69c | 195.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 29c | 193.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 187.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…9e92backed Aurora | 68c | 183.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Team Falcons | 28c | 180.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bd44backed Team Falcons | 33c | 176.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…a3c3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 175.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…c767backed Team Falcons | 14c | 170$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 18c | 156.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 153.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Falcons | 12c | 152.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.