TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f9b…71f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST7345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.74
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$49.24
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.81
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$210.64
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$129.8
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$58.61
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs WW Team (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$139.14
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$221.05
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+257.1%+$58.94
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$57.85
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$116.02
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$87.57
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51.57
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$363
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.57
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.59
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160.64
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$614.28
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$146.18
Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+167.7%+$1,066.41
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$61.07
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$178.89
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$77.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$496.87
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$133.4
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106.27
LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$156.42
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$84.48
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$135.41
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs A One Man Army Esports Prime (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$152.38
LoL: French Flair vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$153.16
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$76.47
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$139.72
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.64
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
LoL: Team Phoenix vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Team Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.52
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$69.21
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275.47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.01
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+257.1%+$132.69
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$104.87
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Dbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+212.5%+$133.51
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Abacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$136.66
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$465.37
LoL: Yumeea vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Cbacked Yumeea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$132.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$133.31
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Stallions Esports vs Fraggerz (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - MEbacked Fraggerz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.31
Valorant: 100 Thieves GC vs Blue Otter GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Kickoff Playoffsbacked Blue Otter GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$58.2
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$212.93
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80.4
Valorant: Wadadaa vs Maui Wowie (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Kickoff Playoffsbacked Maui Wowie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$172.63
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Abacked Equipe Caos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$83.47
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.01
Valorant: QoR vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$79.25
Valorant: LAZER vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40.81
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$439.75
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$77.62
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$78.57
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$202.81
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+46.5%+$270.6
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$325.68
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.21
Valorant: Galions vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stagebacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$335.42
Valorant: QoR vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.98
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$496.88
Valorant: Team Evictix vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked ROSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$56.94
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$229.49
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$166.04
Valorant: Xipto Esports vs Todak (BO1)backed Todak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$325
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$167.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$195.61
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$333.07
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Aomqu and friends (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Aomqu and friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.45
Dota 2: Valinor vs strongboys (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$54.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$338.55
Dota 2: strongboys vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Dbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.48
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$57.21
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs BabyKalma (BO1)backed Rottweilas Latam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)backed Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$36.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$19.99
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.48
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.63
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$50.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.