Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galions vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7854ac5cdb7ced9515c9471fb1a9b9e9edd8011f2f933b8b9fe96dade69b69eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed F9 EICAR | 36c | 7,994$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.17 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Galions | 72c | 1,191$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions | 68c | 1,101$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions | 62c | 1,057$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Galions | 61c | 953.41$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Galions | 64c | 928$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Galions | 61c | 745.65$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Galions | 60c | 619.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Galions | 63c | 607$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Galions | 75c | 486.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Galions | 63c | 330.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Galions | 60c | 259.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Galions | 62c | 211$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Galions | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Galions | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked Galions | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Galions | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Galions | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Galions | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Galions | 76c | 123.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Galions | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Galions | 59c | 101.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed F9 EICAR | 21c | 82.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Galions | 59c | 68.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Galions | 80c | 56.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked F9 EICAR | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Galions | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Galions | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Galions | 75c | 13.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galions vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Galions vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerGalions won
- Valorant: Galions vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.