UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc424b9006db863d3f0351664deb33d4c5072bf87f4a478bbbc3fe8abd906eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wiklaczof Gafurov, Wiklacz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Gafurov | 53c | 96,966$51,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,794.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Wiklacz | 47c | 58,000$27,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,739.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wiklacz | 45c | 55,511$24,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,670.75 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Wiklacz | 47c | 38,346$18,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,323.29 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gafurov | 53c | 33,333$17,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,666.49 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Gafurov | 57c | 31,343$17,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,934.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Wiklacz | 66c | 30,178$19,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.19 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Gafurov | 54c | 25,856$13,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,962.5 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wiklacz | 43c | 23,234$9,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,354.42 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Wiklacz | 44c | 21,644$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,129.23 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Wiklacz | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,130 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Gafurov | 31c | 18,762$5,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.15 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wiklacz | 44c | 18,712$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.96 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Gafurov | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Gafurov | 56c | 10,000$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.98 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Gafurov | 56c | 8,228$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gafurov | 55c | 7,666$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.96 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wiklacz | 44c | 7,621$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.5 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Gafurov | 56c | 6,633$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Gafurov | 56c | 6,010$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.56 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wiklacz | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Gafurov | 56c | 5,313$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Gafurov | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Gafurov | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Gafurov | 56c | 4,700$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wiklacz | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wiklacz | 46c | 4,311$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.18 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Gafurov | 59c | 3,399$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wiklacz | 75c | 3,344$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.11 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Gafurov | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.15 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Gafurov | 56c | 3,220$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Gafurov | 8c | 3,105$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.85 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Wiklacz | 43c | 3,005$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.99 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wiklacz | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Gafurov | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Gafurov | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Wiklacz | 46c | 2,527$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.57 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Wiklacz | 43c | 2,436$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.52 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Wiklacz | 46c | 2,421$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Gafurov | 67c | 2,179$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.61 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Gafurov | 54c | 2,137$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Gafurov | 60c | 2,029$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.5 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wiklacz | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gafurov | 43c | 1,930$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.19 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Wiklacz | 46c | 1,917$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Gafurov | 8c | 1,902$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wiklacz | 65c | 1,882$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.95 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wiklacz | 53c | 1,740$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Gafurov | 57c | 1,697$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.29 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wiklacz | 45c | 1,556$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.34 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wiklacz | 52c | 1,542$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.08 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wiklacz | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…55f3backed Gafurov | 2c | 1,348$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wiklacz | 46c | 1,210$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.1 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wiklacz | 44c | 1,205$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Gafurov | 17c | 1,195$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Wiklacz | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Gafurov | 56c | 1,119$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Gafurov | 51c | 1,113$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Wiklacz | 45c | 1,077$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Gafurov | 42c | 1,075$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Wiklacz | 43c | 1,008$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.55 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Gafurov | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Wiklacz | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wiklacz | 44c | 971.31$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.58 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…363dbacked Gafurov | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Gafurov | 5c | 900$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…eecebacked Wiklacz | 72c | 897.03$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Gafurov | 54c | 874.98$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wiklacz | 50c | 837.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wiklacz | 45c | 827.71$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Wiklacz | 43c | 826.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Wiklacz | 43c | 824.76$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.11 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gafurov | 55c | 800$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wiklacz | 44c | 796.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Gafurov | 53c | 791.49$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wiklacz | 65c | 746.69$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Gafurov | 55c | 736.13$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.51 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Gafurov | 54c | 726.37$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gafurov | 28c | 725.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Wiklacz | 51c | 712.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wiklacz | 44c | 699.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.94 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Wiklacz | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Wiklacz | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Wiklacz | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Wiklacz | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Wiklacz | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Wiklacz | 46c | 554.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked Wiklacz | 46c | 525.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Gafurov | 40c | 504.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Gafurov | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Wiklacz | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Wiklacz | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Gafurov | 57c | 421.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Gafurov | 48c | 416.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Wiklacz | 56c | 405.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Gafurov | 70c | 400$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Gafurov | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Gafurov | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Wiklacz | 43c | 364$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Muin Gafurov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.