TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e62…ef0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+93.6%+$77.06
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$339.28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$177.08
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.9%+$215.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,571Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.7%+$3,158.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,847.73
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.7%+$2,408.43
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10,605.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$931.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,252.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,694Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$5,397.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,602Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.2%+$2,058.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$213.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,614Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.5%+$4,568.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+111.2%+$50.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,725.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+54.4%+$319.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.4%+$894.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$242.73
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$3,504.03
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$3,260.5
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.7%+$1,235.21
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+39.3%+$2,828.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$94.35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,244.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,482.94
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+45.1%+$768.75
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37.2%+$85.29
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,979.23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,493.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$530.82
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55.8%+$432.05
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,422.39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$421.8
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,846.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+351.9%+$2,201.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,342.06
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$944.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$547.55
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$4,329.69
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+169.1%+$3,442.33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.3%+$1,917.23
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.3%+$2,851.1
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,493.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37.8%+$308.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,124.54
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$40
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,027Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$1,119.76
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,613.84
Will Javid Basharat win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Javid Basharat vs. Gianni Vazquez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+48.3%+$1,201.74
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,845Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100.6%+$2,861.24
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200.04
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,843.22
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$274.89
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,166.63
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.7%+$88.53
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,246.35
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$965.49
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+119.8%+$3,978.71
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,992.5
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$520.59
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$711.29
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,389Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.4%+$1,624.83
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12,619.09
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,717Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.7%+$2,552.63
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$1,277.85
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,616Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.3%+$2,323.83
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$786.87
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$644.61
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$879.14
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$171.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$875
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,724.3
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,102.15
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$1,873.23
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$509.66
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$218.68
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,165.86
All 7 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$795.75
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,310.98
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$131.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$349.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.36
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+71.5%+$5,823.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,927Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.1%+$2,404.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14,066.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,912Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+70.9%+$2,063.3
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,299.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$424.44
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+143.9%+$24.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+50%+$390.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35%+$252.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.3%+$270.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$370.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$547.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.