Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5462af7767e134a0250b45638d0211ac52931bc8c2f2e8dc40ae10b66b110e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,982,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,329,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,982,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed No | 1c | 583,440$5,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 47c | 200,000$93,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,599.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…878ebacked No | 0c | 117,111$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 50c | 102,216$51,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,273.51 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…34fbbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…3e1dbacked No | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 39c | 76,434$30,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,282.75 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…78a8backed No | 0c | 74,918$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…65a7backed No | 0c | 73,400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab23…dd33backed No | 1c | 71,680$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 58c | 66,918$38,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,952.15 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 72c | 61,290$44,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,133.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…1d7ebacked No | 0c | 59,640$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked No | 29c | 48,776$14,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,066.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 33c | 43,960$14,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,360.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…ecdebacked No | 0c | 40,420$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 0c | 34,650$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…ab0fbacked No | 0c | 34,040$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…9359backed No | 0c | 33,987$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 32c | 33,514$10,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,668.34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 32c | 31,643$10,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.49 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 48c | 30,115$14,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,699.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed No | 77c | 26,921$20,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,650.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 9c | 24,322$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,027.71 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…708cbacked Yes | 55c | 23,092$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,391.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 9c | 22,300$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,365.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…dd0dbacked No | 70c | 22,222$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 15c | 21,587$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,285.18 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…1935backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 11c | 20,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,699.79 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 30c | 18,655$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 10c | 18,402$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,508.66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 40c | 16,281$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 15c | 16,213$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,728.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…9637backed No | 0c | 15,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 70c | 15,176$10,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.52 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 29c | 15,152$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,762.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…01debacked Yes | 16c | 14,456$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,143.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 71c | 13,671$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,639.6 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…1ce6backed No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 67c | 12,573$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.2 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked No | 59c | 12,314$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 41c | 12,140$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,143.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5a…b99cbacked No | 0c | 10,560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…44ccbacked No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +316.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…0a31backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…2de6backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…47b0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…d412backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 9,999$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.22 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 52c | 9,913$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 42c | 8,717$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.53 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…b5c4backed No | 54c | 8,321$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 68c | 8,213$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 12c | 8,081$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,081.29 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 56c | 7,978$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.41 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 20c | 7,911$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.49 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 73c | 7,195$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 10c | 6,851$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,025$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…4fecbacked No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a9d6backed Yes | 15c | 5,674$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…bbeebacked Yes | 55c | 5,462$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 66c | 5,230$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 63c | 5,044$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 22c | 5,030$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 78c | 4,882$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…c5ffbacked Yes | 21c | 4,847$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…924dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,766$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 42c | 4,618$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.7 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,591$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.39 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed No | 75c | 4,490$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…5b9cbacked Yes | 55c | 4,470$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed Yes | 68c | 4,421$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 4,262$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.82 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…d0acbacked Yes | 55c | 4,190$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5840…97fbbacked Yes | 48c | 4,174$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,800$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 24c | 3,736$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed No | 60c | 3,688$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…8db8backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 17c | 3,611$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…975dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,591$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +685.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa70e…709fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,523$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 56c | 3,483$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 73c | 3,058$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 9c | 3,001$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.