Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee483d462c5ef89bfb5e7662abb62714354a0f6f3a6c6c0df74933607ae9b81b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,296,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,816,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,296,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 12c | 197,452$23,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,330.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 6c | 135,219$7,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 7c | 125,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.81 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 25c | 103,940$25,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,481.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 103,000$12,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,323.99 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…a18dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 18c | 93,638$16,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,901.5 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…ec79backed Yes | 7c | 86,708$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 84,035$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.07 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…016abacked Yes | 6c | 79,446$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 9c | 58,533$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 17c | 54,705$9,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,463.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 15c | 54,173$8,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,368.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 52,089$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 51,723$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.49 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 16c | 48,783$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,669.71 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 1c | 46,286$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.38 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 10c | 44,148$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.66 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 77c | 43,824$33,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,242.02 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 42,550$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300.03 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 37,002$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.16 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…1a4cbacked Yes | 23c | 35,077$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 2c | 35,000$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.47 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 33,481$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…03febacked Yes | 9c | 31,737$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes | 10c | 29,899$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 29,878$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 72c | 28,500$20,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,882.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…6758backed Yes | 1c | 28,269$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 28,036$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 6c | 27,505$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 6c | 26,285$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 2c | 26,000$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.65 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 17c | 23,971$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…c5ffbacked Yes | 39c | 23,382$9,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 22,557$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.32 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 33c | 21,235$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.31 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked No | 78c | 20,859$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.26 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…78a4backed Yes | 7c | 20,617$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 68c | 19,999$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 21c | 19,750$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.26 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…4e84backed Yes | 1c | 18,939$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 10c | 18,370$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes | 8c | 18,047$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 17,824$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.94 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b71cbacked Yes | 17c | 17,682$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 2c | 16,998$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…c975backed Yes | 9c | 15,435$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +482.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 5c | 14,943$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 7c | 14,701$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.29 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 10c | 14,661$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 14,068$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 16c | 14,040$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 6c | 13,800$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,491$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 4c | 13,308$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.02 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 13,037$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…43c4backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…c43ebacked Yes | 11c | 12,817$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 20c | 12,765$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 4c | 12,593$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…c968backed No | 74c | 12,553$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a9d6backed Yes | 10c | 12,420$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 1c | 12,323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 12,311$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 39c | 12,163$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 22c | 12,112$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…1d63backed Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 2c | 11,964$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 8c | 11,793$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 7c | 11,779$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.07 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 0c | 10,680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3d12backed Yes | 1c | 10,650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 47c | 10,637$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 10,207$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.77 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 9c | 10,201$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.07 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.64 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 10c | 9,879$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.46 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…924dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,801$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 6c | 9,778$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.03 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 7c | 9,745$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.21 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 6c | 9,246$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.09 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…3d69backed Yes | 26c | 9,165$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…5de7backed Yes | 1c | 8,925$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…4f02backed Yes | 2c | 8,891$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 35c | 8,800$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 9c | 8,500$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 32c | 8,439$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeade…f26dbacked Yes | 20c | 8,344$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 68c | 8,336$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,325$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.