Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3366d7294044d8d8f91ced866b806226e6964259aa9053f8145a500d87c30d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,620,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,684,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,620,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9104…9a7fbacked Yes | 0c | 122,010$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…24e0backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…4f09backed Yes | 0c | 92,040$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…944fbacked Yes | 0c | 89,801$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…5864backed Yes | 0c | 89,733$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 77,500$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.5 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 68,192$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.15 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…f084backed Yes | 0c | 59,183$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 47,304$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.49 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…5f98backed Yes | 2c | 46,467$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…2317backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 2c | 30,813$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,626$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,011$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,923$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 24,832$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 24,537$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 20,937$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…f588backed Yes | 1c | 16,663$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,100$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 15,995$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 14,746$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 12,698$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,078$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 11,262$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 1c | 10,425$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…6002backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 2c | 9,978$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…2664backed Yes | 2c | 9,868$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +248%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb4…092bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,692$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,482$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,944$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 8,800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…d936backed Yes | 1c | 7,075$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 2c | 6,946$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…7744backed Yes | 1c | 6,877$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…f704backed Yes | 0c | 6,666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,420$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 1c | 6,272$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 5,934$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9404…7cf2backed Yes | 2c | 5,423$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…cee8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 4,701$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 4,495$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…fc0ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,430$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 4,361$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…a35ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 3,599$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,395$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 1c | 3,184$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 1c | 3,130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…7560backed Yes | 1c | 2,772$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,734$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…487cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 1c | 2,256$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5a…b99cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,248$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,994$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 2c | 1,903$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…11afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,880$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a274backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…6e0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,475$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…81a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbe…1808backed Yes | 1c | 1,455$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…53abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…72aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…d6dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,212$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…2268backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +890.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…c4abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,049$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…83debacked Yes | 2c | 1,033$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…d4e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…c1fcbacked Yes | 2c | 984.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…98aebacked Yes | 3c | 939$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 1c | 903$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…2ababacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…d5d3backed Yes | 1c | 821.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…82d9backed Yes | 1c | 785.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…e73bbacked Yes | 2c | 710.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…2cc1backed Yes | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Yes | 2c | 645$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…2370backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…05e4backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c9…6649backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 2c | 520.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…ab5cbacked Yes | 5c | 426.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked No | 51c | 358.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.