Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c77b523cc7e57c0a09155f99dc2117781be470148616eedabd162f228da9870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,546,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,104,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,546,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 0c | 199,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 6c | 196,096$11,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,305.27 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 3c | 170,432$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.29 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 1c | 158,671$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.04 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 1c | 81,574$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 2c | 77,311$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 74,892$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed Yes | 2c | 58,347$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 2c | 51,518$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.22 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…8331backed Yes | 4c | 47,942$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…2ababacked Yes | 2c | 32,834$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 29,065$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…3581backed Yes | 0c | 28,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 2c | 28,058$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.91 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 27,262$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.05 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…818fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,943$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 24,347$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 4c | 24,215$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 2c | 22,659$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…86f1backed Yes | 5c | 19,416$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…d7debacked Yes | 1c | 18,356$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,778$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…9547backed Yes | 1c | 17,263$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 5c | 17,000$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.95 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…7d2abacked Yes | 1c | 16,833$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…fcb6backed Yes | 2c | 14,590$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…a32fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,984$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 12,216$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,821$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…c243backed Yes | 1c | 11,818$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,362$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 10,017$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 9,363$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 1c | 8,966$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 8,705$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 2c | 8,586$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed Yes | 1c | 8,538$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cac…d93fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,394$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…ba10backed Yes | 1c | 8,181$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…b8f7backed Yes | 1c | 7,981$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Yes | 2c | 7,935$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…c9c8backed Yes | 1c | 7,606$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Yes | 1c | 7,426$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,402$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 2c | 7,361$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 3c | 7,302$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,115$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 7,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…c460backed Yes | 1c | 6,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…66f5backed Yes | 2c | 6,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…6735backed Yes | 1c | 6,333$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,842$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 2c | 5,757$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…def8backed Yes | 1c | 5,675$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…1782backed Yes | 0c | 5,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 1cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed Yes | 2c | 5,013$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,001$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…b430backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,983$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 2c | 4,863$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…767dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,822$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 4,472$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb17…2a33backed Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…262ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 4,177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…a4a2backed Yes | 3c | 4,153$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…c5a5backed Yes | 5c | 4,146$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…ccedbacked Yes | 5c | 4,103$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 2c | 3,571$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…05e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,549$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 1c | 3,503$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…2f8bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 3,319$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,283$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…d964backed Yes | 4c | 3,211$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0f5ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,176$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…730cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,080$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,911$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…b4bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,890$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…6bd7backed Yes | 2c | 2,869$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…7366backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…0a56backed Yes | 1c | 2,821$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 2,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 5c | 2,762$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 5c | 2,748$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 2,598$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…d2f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,435$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 5c | 2,428$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…7104backed Yes | 1c | 2,232$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.