TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6271…784e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.03
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.74
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$496
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.5
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$763.35
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+335.5%+$1,613.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.5
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+639.2%+$3,861.46
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+282.5%+$801.48
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.63
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$278.92
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$131.95
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.89
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.71
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.25
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$187.9
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97.7
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$87.76
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$81.83
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$135.68
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$23.41
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+364.3%+$214.72
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+128.5%+$34.49
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$20.41
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: BAL (-5.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.8
Spread: BAL (-3.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: BAL (-4.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.12
Spread: BAL (-6.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.93
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+300.9%+$371.99
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,336.5%+$4,469.45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.21
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.74
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.89
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.72
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.7
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.58
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.31
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.29
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.13
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+788.9%+$118.32
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.06
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.75
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.34
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+402.9%+$472.65
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.86
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.22
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.01
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.58
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.17
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.18
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.52
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$472.51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$397.18
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.83
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$901.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,738.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,006.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.57
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.79
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.83
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.81
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.12
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.8
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.58
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$26.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$260.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.