TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$733,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes7c58,483$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.451060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes10c34,245$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,424.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes7c33,801$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes10c28,879$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.048125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes10c24,928$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.8221740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9811…5de5backed Yes13c20,789$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes8c17,930$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.74166.3%1 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbab…9a8abacked Yes10c16,526$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.854047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes7c15,599$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.6929145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes14c14,682$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9921533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes8c14,554$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.973135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes8c13,447$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.176660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes8c9,898$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.631,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes10c9,367$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.422227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes12c8,748$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes18c8,105$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.7814047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes14c7,957$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes11c7,292$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.018652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddfe…c5a6backed Yes9c7,024$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes16c6,792$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.35911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-62.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes9c6,247$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8369547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes7c5,896$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.73375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c4,864$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.863929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edf…275fbacked Yes9c4,703$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes14c4,434$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.517035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes7c3,892$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7316725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes10c3,631$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.187437.8%28 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes8c3,210$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27147850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Yes8c3,118$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.99146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes9c3,100$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Yes9c3,056$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.223545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb47…709dbacked Yes9c2,684$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297c…a87bbacked Yes7c2,620$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes6c2,519$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed Yes17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes9c2,476$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes8c2,472$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes9c2,466$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9493240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes8c2,466$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.58128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes6c2,208$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.453040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83aa…62ddbacked Yes9c2,142$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes8c2,139$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.01336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes12c2,108$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.932646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e56ebacked Yes12c2,057$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.68119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-75%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…e985backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+101.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes9c1,950$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5416151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes5c1,800$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf869…f264backed Yes8c1,727$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes7c1,708$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.641513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes7c1,700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes8c1,549$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.94185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-79.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes7c1,527$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes6c1,496$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.987041.4%29 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes7c1,453$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.45166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-63.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes9c1,405$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.481421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes11c1,338$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaf…18bebacked Yes10c1,327$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes12c1,221$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes9c1,197$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.667634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes10c1,118$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.94714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7816…ce35backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes6c1,065$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.623129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc3…34f1backed Yes5c1,050$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb259…dbc7backed Yes8c1,001$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd994…7082backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes10c999.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes6c977.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6415942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35db…b4dfbacked Yes7c954.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c1…2cbdbacked Yes8c937.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes11c932$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.26633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+99%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Yes7c908.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.121833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a75…d395backed Yes8c882.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46e8…8793backed Yes10c838.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes8c825$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86a2…a23dbacked Yes11c800$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c6…9ac7backed Yes9c720$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…b4d8backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe482…3d44backed Yes9c689.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c9…d232backed Yes9c688.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes15c670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes12c668$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.581,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5f…aab9backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked Yes17c666.41$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf217…feafbacked Yes9c656.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…bcf2backed Yes9c655.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Yes11c625$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes7c611.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+522.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f2…db10backed Yes11c600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes6c599.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.